Nigeria vs Ethiopia: population
How Nigeria and Ethiopia compare in population today and out to 2100, side by side, from UN World Population Prospects 2024.
Nigeria and Ethiopia population, 2000-2100
Population 2000-2100
Side by side
| 🇳🇬 Nigeria | 🇪🇹 Ethiopia | |
|---|---|---|
| Population today | 240 million | 137 million |
| Population 2050 | 357 million | 223 million |
| Population 2100 | 477 million | 366 million |
| World rank | #6 | #10 |
| Peak year | 2100 | 2100 |
| Median age (2024) | 18 | 19 |
| Fertility rate (2024) | 4.38 | 3.91 |
| Life expectancy (2024) | 55 yrs | 68 yrs |
| Density (per km²) | 266 | 139 |
Nigeria vs Ethiopia, explained
Today Nigeria is the larger of the two, with about 240 million people against Ethiopia's 137 million. Nigeria is the world's 6th most populous country and Ethiopia the 10th.
Their paths to 2100 differ. Nigeria grows strongly over the century, moving from about 230 million to 477 million (+107.0%). Ethiopia grows strongly, going from 130 million to 366 million (+181.1%).
The order does not flip this century: Nigeria is still the larger of the two in 2100. The two trajectories run in parallel rather than crossing.
The deeper contrast is age and fertility. Nigeria has a median age near 18 and 4.38 births per woman, against Ethiopia's 19 and 3.91. All figures follow the UN's medium-variant projection.