Cuba Population
Cuba population, 1990β2100
Medium projection with low/high uncertainty band
The Cuba demographic outlook
With roughly 10.9 million people as of 2026, Cuba ranks 88th in the world by population. In Caribbean, where it lies, that future is driven by fertility, longevity and the movement of people across its borders. Population density stands at about 102 people for every square kilometre of land.
Cuba's population has already passed its peak of about 11.3 million, reached around 2012. It now sits roughly 3% below that high point, and the UN projects about 9.4 million by 2050 and 5.6 million by 2100.
Half of Cuba is currently younger than about 42, but by 2100 the median age is projected to reach around 55, even as life expectancy improves from about 78 years. That ageing slowly changes everything from the size of the workforce to the cost of care and pensions.
Fertility sits at about 1.45 births per woman, below the replacement level of roughly 2.1, so without migration the population would eventually shrink. Emigration adds a further drag, as departures outnumber arrivals year to year.
Read these numbers as the midpoint of a range. Under the UN's high and low fertility paths Cuba's 2100 population could land well above or below the figures here; the medium variant is simply the central case.
Key milestones
Age structure
Toggle the year
Demographic indicators
| Population 2024 | 11.0 million |
| Population 2050 | 9.4 million |
| Population 2075 | 7.3 million |
| Population 2100 | 5.6 million |
| Median age 2050 | 49.9 years |
| Fertility rate 2050 | 1.51 |
| Life expectancy 2100 | 88.8 years |